Before the start of the first ATP 1000 tournament of the 2011 season we have some Davis Cup matches to trade on this weekend.
Most of the times I don’t get involded in trading the Davis Cup matches – except for the final round – due to the following factors:
- low liquidity in most markets – makes it difficult to get matched when entering and exiting the market with a decent amount
- low motivational factor for some players – Federer never plays Davis Cup and there is a reason for that
- no reliable recent form and statistical analysis – the Davis Cup ties are played during the span of 3 days, and players come from all over the world to the respective venue for the tie, which makes it difficult to get a correct assessment for their real form
- players can be changed at the last moment – you can expect changes as far as the declared players for a certain match in concerned
But excluding the above factors, these matches are “best of 5 sets” and can bring up some trading opportunities.
Looking at the match-ups from this weekend, Sweden vs Russia, Croatia vs Germany and Austria vs France would be the ones that could spark my interest.