Before we move forward and enter the month of February, which is a more “relaxed” month from a tennis trading perspective, let’s take a look at some of the things that took place during this year’s edition of the Australian Open and what we can take away. [continue reading…]
I’ll try to keep this post as short as possible.We’re in the fifth day of the French Open which means that all the first round matches have been played and we have had a chance to see all players and mark some first impressions on this year’s tournament and what that means trading wise.
One thing worth noting is the new balls. The old Dunlop balls have been replaced with a new type of Babolat balls. The general impression among the players is that the new balls are faster and heavier, which can be good for some players and not so good for others. In his press conference, Almagro said he didn’t like the new balls because they are heavier, and I feel that several other players – especially clay courters – share the same type of feelings towards the new balls. Certainly, the hot weather had an impact on the general perception that the balls are faster, but again as in past years it’s the weather that plays a huge part in shaping the general court conditions at the French Open.
We are almost at the end of the Rome Masters and in less than two weeks the French Open will take place. Of course there are still a few matches to be played the week before the French Open, but I believe I have seen enough clay court tennis this season to make some early assessments on the this seasons edition of the French Open.
We are in the final stages of the 2011 Australian Open.
Trading wise, it’s been an interesting and profitable Grand Slam so far. At the start of the tournament on the men side I backed Djokovic on the winners market as I saw him as an in form player who does well in the majors and having won here back in 2008 can only help. After yesterday’s match against Berdych I decided to go on and hedge for a profit, as Djokovic will have a tough task getting past Federer in the first semi-final. On the other side of the men’s draw things can become more interesting. We are in the quarter final stages were Murray will be playing Dolgopolov and Ferrer will be facing Nadal. This part of the draw is where we could see Murray progress all the way to the final. Murray can take on Nadal and why not even go all the way this year and win his first major. It’s still a long way to go, but as I have stated before I don’t believe Nadal will win this tournament.
In 2010, over 60% of my trades were in the tennis markets. The percentage would have probably been higher if if wasn’t for the world cup which reignited my interest in the football markets. Although the new tennis season will not officially start until next year with the Brisbane, Doha and Chennai tournaments, we do have some early matches starting as of tomorrow. The Mubadala World Tennis Exhibition Event basically is the start of the new tennis trading season for me. Baghdatis will play Berdych followed Soderling against Tsonga.
What I like about this exhibition tournament is that it gives me the opportunity to get a feel for tennis trading again. Extended periods of time without trading your favorite sport followed by an almost instant immersion into the markets can produce some unwanted results. Exhibition tournaments or matches which are listed on the betting exchanges always tend to bring decent trading opportunities with a recent example being the two matches played by Federer and Nadal in Zurich and Madrid.